Impediments and Plausible Suggestions to Farmers in Cyclone Affected Region of Odisha: Kendall's Coefficient of Concordance Approach

Taking into account the farmer's perception of impediments, this study examined the impediments encountered in cyclone ravaged regions as well as their plausible suggestions. Odisha is one of the top 10 ranked climatic vulnerable state of India. 480 km of coastal boundary is exposed to Bay of Bengal and 06 coastal districts are highly vulnerable towards climatic events. As Odisha has an agrarian economy, farmers are severely affected by cyclones. So, the state was purposively selected for the study. Total of 160 respondent farmers were chosen randomly from 8 villages of 2 districts. 20 specific impediments (constraints) were further categorized into 4 broad dimensions of impediments viz., social, economic, environmental, and miscellaneous impediments. Impediments were ranked using Garrett's ranking method, while Kendall's coefficient of concordance approach was executed to rank 4 broad dimensions of impediments. Among 20 impediments, "rain and storms lead to flooding after cyclone" with Garrett's mean value 64.53 was perceived as the most important one. Kendall's coefficient of concordance was significant at 1% significance level (p=.000, <0.01) with the commendable agreement value of 0.588, as it ranges from 0 to 1. Where, Zero denotes nonexistent of agreement among judges, and one denotes perfect agreement with the χ2 value of 282.192 with 3 degrees of freedom. Kendall's coefficient of concordance values for 4 broad impediments were environmental impediment (3.53) was ranked first as constraint followed by economic impediment (2.85), social impediment (2.40) and miscellaneous impediment (1.22). The following suggestions were extracted from the grassroots level investigations viz., attending timely


Introduction
Global population is exposed to frequent and intensive hazards, viz., cyclones, drought, floods, heat waves, melting glaciers, and increasing sea levels due to climate change and human interventions.Among all the hazards, cyclone is one of the most frequent and leading natural hazards worldwide that causes massive causalities.The unique geographical setting of the country, along with climate, topography, and populace add to its risk and vulnerability to disasters like cyclones and floods, which can't be entirely prevented. 1ccording to IMD, 2 5-6 tropical cyclones formed per year across the North Indian Ocean (the Bay of Bengal {BoB} & the Arabian Sea) which accounts for merely 7 percent of the global tropical cyclones, but the severity of cyclones are most destructive while crossing over the mainland.Most of the tropical cyclones (TCs) formed over BoB struck the Odisha-West Bengal coast, Andhra Pradesh coast in the month of November.According to the report of Council on Energy, Environment and Water, 3 Odisha secured 10 th position in relation to Climate vulnerable states in India with overall vulnerable index score 0.368.Around 76% of the total population of the state is engaged in agricultural activities as their primary as well as secondary occupation. 4According to agricultural Census, 2015-16, the state has total cropped area of 87.46 lakh hectares out of which 46.19 lakh ha is total operated area.5 6.51 lakh ha crop was lost during cyclone Phailin in 2013 followed by 3.04 lakh ha in cyclone Titli during 2018, 1.69 lakh ha in cyclone Bulbul and 1.46 lakh ha in cyclone Fani during 2019. 6Almost every year state economy accounts for huge loss due to cyclones in agriculture and allied sectors.Among several reasons, natural calamities were also recorded for the distressed hotspots where farmers commit suicide or want to quit farming due to crop failure. 7n the present study, numerous constraints were identified i.e., perceived by farmers to cope with cyclonic vagaries in coastal Odisha.
Constraints analysis is ubiquitous in the research discipline.Constraint is the restriction or limitation that doesn't allow the event to accomplish hasslefree.It is also termed as hindrance or obstruction that limits a system from reaching its goal. 8Different methodologies were used by researchers to rank the most critical constraints.Goyal et al. 9 explored five broad constraints, viz., Social constraints, Communicational Constraints, Managerial constraints, Technical Constraints and Infrastructural Constraints perceived by veterinary surgeons in Haryana ranked by using Garrett ranking method.Lal et al. 10 used Friedman ranking analysis 11 to distinguish the most important impediments among dairy farmers who have been affected by national calamity in Bihar.Lal et al. 12 used exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and identified 4 types of broad impediments viz., environmental constraints, pecuniary constraints, policy constraints and miscellaneous impediments and ranked by using Garrett ranking technique.Similar in-depth study had been carried out by Sinha et al., 13 Popoola et al., 14 Bandhavya et al., 8 Lal et al. 15 Reviewing the above studies, this paper uncovers various impediments perceived by farmers in the cyclone affected region of Odisha.

Background of the Study Locale
Odisha has a long history of climatic events like cyclones and floods.But the official database was prepared after the establishment of India Meteorological Department (IMD) in 1975.However earlier, the descriptive database was provided by the British East India Company for the period of 1804 to 1875.An insight into the database revealed that during the 19 th and 20 th centuries Odisha experienced 128 flooding events associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) and monsoon depressions (MD) with maximum impact in the Balasore district followed by Puri and Ganjam districts. 16Examination of IMD data unraveled that with 295 cyclones, 262 landfalls across the East coast in 20 th century, while 8 cyclones landfall in first two decades of 21 st century. 17he severity of cyclones and surges is increasing as population and coastal infrastructure increase.

Selection of the Study Locale and Sampling Plan
The study was carried out in the state Odisha during 2021-22.The state has 30 districts, out of that 6 districts lie next to Bay of Bengal.Among the coastal districts, Puri and Gnajam were selected purposively as these districts witnessed the maximum number of cyclones.Further 2 affected blocks from each district and 2 villages from each block were chosen randomly by applying computer-based research randomizer technique to avoid the biasness.Lastly, 160 respondents were finalized for the study after taking 20 respondents from 8 villages."Ex-postfacto research design" was employed to determine the broad impediments viz., social, economic, environmental, and miscellaneous impediments (Figure 1).

Data Analysis
Garrett's ranking method was employed to prioritize the impediments.
Respondents were asked openended questions developed before identifying the constraints.Statements were categorized based on social, economic, environmental and miscellaneous impediments in the interview schedule.Respondents ranked the impediments accordingly as per importance to their livelihood.As the responses were not the same for each statement by all respondents, the method of integrating of incomplete order of merit ratings was given by Garrett.

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Primarily constraints were ranked by the respondents according to their importance.

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The rank assigned by the respondents was converted into percent position using the following formula.
%position=(100(R ij -0.50))/Nj R ij = The rank given for the i th constraint by the j th individual.
N j = The total number of impediments ranked by the j th individual.
• Rank obtained through % position was changed into scores followed by the table proposed by Garrett. 18

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Appropriate rank was assigned after calculating the mean score for each constraint.
In addition, Comparison of various broad constraints used in the specific study was done by using the formula of Kendall's coefficient of concordance approach (Kendall and Smith, 19 Kendall, 20 Legendre 21 ).
w=12S/(m 2 n(n 2 -1) ) As ranks was tied between judges in the present study below formula is appropriate to measure correction factors between tied ranks Where, n= the total number of objects m= the total number of individuals R_i=∑ m i=1 r ij is the sum of the rank position for i th item T= correction factors for tied ranks Kendall's coefficient of concordance (Kendall's W) is accustomed to evaluating agreement or consistency between different judges or respondents to certain objects, ranging from 0 to 1. Where, Zero denotes nonexistence of agreement at all between judges, and 1 denotes perfect agreement.

Results and Discussion Social Constraints as Perceived by the Farmers
It is evident from the analysis presented in Table 1 that "Damage to residential as well as other infrastructures" was most important among social constraints, with mean value (62.38).It could be concluded that people with kutcha and semi-pucca houses were more vulnerable to weather events.Damage to residential house and livestock shed during a cyclone may cause the death of human and animal assets."Lack of training and knowledge to cope with cyclone" was perceived as the second most important constraint, with mean value (56.63).Respondents were not skilled in operating motor boats, climbing buildings, using lifejackets, safety belts, rappelling ropes, and emergency lights used during or post cyclone.In the following order of constraints "unavailability of timely information regarding cyclone" mean score (50.53) was important.Respondents were unaware of the timely and correct information regarding cyclones.Some respondents ignored the emergency alert even after the message was broadcasted in the community.The fourth serious constraint, "insufficient relief materials provided by the government," holds a mean score (42.97).After enormous damage and flooding, respondents urged for quick external support by govt.or private organizations for cooked food, clean drinking water, temporary shelter, first aid, and medical services.
Last but not least, "less community cohesiveness to fight with such situation" was perceived as the fifth social constraint with mean value (36.69).Community participation and cohesiveness were important to help each other in difficulties.Lack of it creates an isolated environment in the community.
Suggested solutions to overcome social constraints include using pucca and semi-pucca houses like shelter houses, school buildings during heavy rainfall and wind in cyclones.Mass media and officials help disseminate timely and correct information regarding cyclones, so regular contact is necessary.UNICEF 22 started children centric disaster-risk reduction programme to strengthen the education, health, nutrition, water & sanitation sectors to foster resilience in India for 2018-22.Sufficient relief materials for all the affected population and community participation after cyclone are also helpful in overcoming the constraints.

Economic Constraints
Economic constraints were affecting the livelihood of the respondents."Huge loss to cultivated crops" ranked first with mean score (62.72).Post-monsoon cyclones damaged standing crops with high wind velocity and continuous rain, followed by floods.
Paddy was in the ripening stage during November; due to cyclone, it could not collect paddy from the field.Secondly, "less market value of agricultural products due to damage during cyclone" (57.69) is important because the market value for damaged, diseased, rotten, premature agricultural products was very less and respondents accepted low selling prices and massive financial loss."Nonavailability of farm inputs like seeds, fertilizers" with mean value (50.94) was ranked as the third severe constraint.It was due to the loss of previously stored seeds and immediate demand for new seeds and chemical fertilizers in the market that were reasons for non-availability.The result was contrary to Lal et al. 12 who reported that "duplicity of agricultural input viz., seed, fertilizer etc" ranked 3rd with mean score (58.97).Respondents ranked "reduce quality and quantity of coconut production" (46.65) as the fourth constraint.In coastal regions, coconut was an additional source of income for agriculture, but frequent cyclones damaged most coconut orchards, and sooty mould disease devastated the quality of fruits in terms of size and taste."Damage to livestock sector leads to food insecurities" (43.09) was the fifth important constraint.Respondents dependent on livestock for their primary source of income were vulnerable to cyclones every year.Damage to their sheds, farms and mortality of livestock units caused huge economic loss."Lack of knowledge about crop insurance and its recovery after loss" (39.33) ranked sixth as perceived by respondents.Cooperative societies were not working properly in the study area.So, the respondents were unaware of the crop insurance schemes and their benefits.and 'Mandis' to sell their agricultural products.

Environmental Constraints
Regarding environmental constraints, respondents perceived "rain and storms lead to flooding after cyclone" (64.53) as the most severe among all.
During the landfall of cyclones, wind velocity varies from 62 km/h to 220 km/h even it crosses the limit sometimes.Infrastructure, forest, agriculture, and transportation mostly affected during the catastrophe.Heavy to very heavy rainfall caused inland flooding, damaging agriculture sectors the most.Floods sustained up to 5 to 6 days and destroyed crops, roads, and kutcha houses in affected villages."Erosion of sand dunes that protect as a safety wall" (56.37) was the respondents' second stern constraint.Coastal sand dunes were eroded due to high wind velocity and storm surges during cyclones."Land become unfertile due to saline intrusions" (53.44) was ranked third by the respondents.Due to high tide and flash flooding, saline water could not drain from agricultural land for a long period, leading to increased salt content in the soil.Salt concentration (Estimated Soluble Salts ie.ECe) ranged from 6.94 to 16.86 dS m -1 in coastal Ganjam and Chilika lake region. 23Respondents ranked "loss of forest cover by heavy wind" (47.13) as the fourth important constraint.Wind velocity up to 168-221 km/h during extremely severe cyclonic storms devastated the forest ecosystem, which was an important component of rural livelihood."Sand casting of agricultural land" (42.06) was the fifth important constraint.In the long term, agricultural lands became unfertile due to sand casting."Risk of landslides and marine erosion" (35.95) was ranked the sixth constraint as they affect respondents in the long run.
Suggestions to overcome environmental constraints are permanent drainage systems of low land area to remove excess or flood water to the nearest river or water bodies.Reforestation and afforestation of salt tolerant trees viz., Casuarina equisetifolia (Jhaun), anacardium occidentale (Cashew) plantation along with seashore works as windbreak and protect from high wind velocity.Plantation of the mangroves must be done with the help of the community and forest department to reduce soil erosion.Immediately after the flood, cleaning sand casting from agricultural land will help for next crop cultivation.Construction of non-erosive stone wall along the sea beach is also a measure to protect roads from erosion.This finding is in conformity with Chittibabu et al., 16 who also suggested for build number of dykes or embankments in between the major tributaries areas that protect from floods (Fig. 3 & 4).Kendall's coefficient of concordance approach was used to rank 4 broad dimensions of impediments.

Miscellaneous Constraints
Based on the analysis of Table 2, it was revealed that Kendall's coefficient of concordance value was 0.588.As the value ranges between 0-1, score 0.588 indicates that respondents were closer to agreement among broad groups of impediments.A symptotic significance was 0.000 which is significant (p<0.01) and the chi-square test value was 282.192 with 3 df.Table 2 clearly indicated that Monte Carlo value was significance at 99% CI.Hence, it can be clearly stated that there was a significant difference among the 4 different broad groups of impediments faced by the farmers in coastal Odisha.

Fig. 1 :
Fig. 1: Broad constraints perceived by the farmers Statistical Tools used for the Analysis of the Data To obtain accurate findings from collected data, statistical tools like Garrett's ranking method and Kendall's coefficient of concordance approach was employed through MS Excel (version 2007) and IBM SPSS software (version 26).

Fig. 2 :
Fig. 2: Comparative ranking of various impediments through Kendall's W mean value