Modelling Land Use Dynamics and Urban Growth Analysis using Random Forest Model and Shannon Entropy-Based Approach in Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation, West Bengal, India
Vajana Mondal
, Yamanur Venkata Krishnaiah
*
, Moumita Hati
, Debasis Das
, Manika Mallick
, Kausik Panja
, Deepa Rai
and Atoshi Chakma
1
Department of Geography and Disaster Management,
Tripura University (A Central University),
Suryamaninagar,
Tripura
India
Corresponding author Email: yvkrishna09@gmail.com
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12944/CWE.21.1.19
Copy the following to cite this article:
Mondal V, Krishnaiah Y. V, Hati M, Das D, Mallick M, Panja K, Rai D, Chakma A. Modelling Land Use Dynamics and Urban Growth Analysis using Random Forest Model and Shannon Entropy-Based Approach in Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation, West Bengal, India. Curr World Environ 2026;21(1). DOI:http://dx.doi.org/10.12944/CWE.21.1.19
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Mondal V, Krishnaiah Y. V, Hati M, Das D, Mallick M, Panja K, Rai D, Chakma A. Modelling Land Use Dynamics and Urban Growth Analysis using Random Forest Model and Shannon Entropy-Based Approach in Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation, West Bengal, India. Curr World Environ 2026;21(1).
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Article Publishing History
| Received: | 2026-02-23 |
|---|---|
| Accepted: | 2026-04-28 |
| Reviewed by: |
Manoj Kanti Debnath
|
| Second Review by: |
Hu, Jing
|
| Final Approval by: | Dr. Sabu Joseph |
Introduction
Land-use change is essential for understanding the relationship between nature and humans.1Land use describes how humans utilise land resources for various needs, while land cover shows the physical characteristics of the Earth's surface.2,3In recent decades, rapid urbanisation has accelerated global land use changes.4,5Converting vegetation and agricultural land to built-up, impervious surfaces has increased, especially in urban areas.6The expansion fragments natural habitats, depletes ecosystem services, and affects urban stability. It impacts socioeconomic conditions, biodiversity, climate, and reshapes the environmental status.7Understanding the detection of LULC change is vital for management of resources, urban planning, and sustainability.8-13
Bidhannagar, a satellite town of Kolkata, is known for its organised layout, extensive roads, and green spaces, but is transforming into a commercial and IT hub, affecting land use and urban growth. Previous studies mainly focused on spatiotemporal changes in LULC, and a comparative study of Salt Lake and New Town was also conducted, in which LULC and the air quality index were analysed.14,15The amalgamation of Rajarhat-Gopalpur Municipality and Mahishbathan II Gram Panchayat, Bidhannagar Municipal Corporationunderwent major administrative and spatial restructuring. However, no recent comprehensive study has examined post-organisation LULC dynamics together with quantitative measures of urban growth in the BMC area. Existing studies have lacked integration of LULC transformation with quantitative measuresof urban expansion, such as application of RF in Google Earth Engine, Shannon entropy,16-18Urban Area Expansion Intensity Index (UAEII), and Landscape Expansion Index (LEI).19-22Therefore, there is a need to analyse LULC dynamics and urban growth together using an integrated remote sensing and GIS-based approach.
The present study highlights advanced remote sensing and modelling techniques to analyse patterns and changes in LULC. Moderate-resolution satellite imagery and classification algorithms were used to categorise the study area. This research aims to examine(a) land use land cover patterns analysis. (b)transition of LULC categories from one class to another, and (c) urban growth explanation using UAEII, Shannon entropy and LEIin Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation.23-25 Bidhannagar is developing to accommodate Kolkata's growing population. Therefore, this analysis guides resource management, sustainable development strategies, and the achievement of long-term development goals.
Materials and Methods
Study Area
Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation is located on the eastern side of Kolkata City, and its latitude and longitude range from 22°31'30'' to 22°40'02'' N and 88°23'45'' to 88°28'29'' E, respectively. The study region coversan area of about 57.26 km². The total population of Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation is approximately 6.15 lakh, with a population density of 1030 persons per sq.km (2011 census). In 1991, Bidhannagar Municipality was established. After merging the Rajarhat Gopalpur Municipality and the Mahishbathan II Gram Panchayat, the Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation (BMC) was formed to enhance urban planning and management of Salt Lake and Rajarhat with total wards no. 41.The study area borders Madhyamgram and North Dumdum Municipalities to the north, Rajarhat Block to the south, South Dumdum Municipality to the west, and HIDCO New Town to the east (Fig. 1). Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation features a diverse layout, with Salt Lake City displaying a grid structure divided into five sectors. Sectors I-IV are mainly residential and commercial, while Sector V includes commercial and IT hubs, and it was previously NDITA (Nabadiganta Industrial Township Authority). NDITA was separated from Bidhannagar in 2006 and developed a new township. The study covers these four sectors plus NDITA. Bidhannagar connects via VIP road, Eastern Metropolitan Bypass, and East-West Metro, IT, residential, commercial centres, and transport infrastructure, shaping its vibrant urban landscape and land-use patterns.
![]() | Figure 1: Location Map of the Study Area
|
Dataset Acquisition and Image Pre-processing
Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper for 2001 and 2011, and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager for 2021 and 2024, were downloaded from the USGS open-source website to understand past and present land-use patterns (Fig. 2& Table 1).For selected years, annual composite images have been generated for LULC classification using composite condition elements,including filterDate to specify the required date range for obtaining the maximum land surface details, filterBounds to delimit the study area boundary, and finally, a median reducer function to obtain the composite image collection. It ensures temporal consistency and reducesannual variability in spectral reflectance while minimising the influence of seasonal dynamics, such as dry and wet conditions. This approach enables a more accurate delineation of the actual land-use classification within the study area, thereby eliminating seasonal bias. Preprocessing satellite imagery is an important step in remote sensing analysis to ensure the accuracy of outcomes.26The cloud-mask process is applied to improveimage quality and accurately detect surface features. The quality assessment band is used to remove cloud-contaminated pixels, and cloud-free imagery is produced using a median composite approach. The atmospheric and radiometric corrections are also done to protect the datasets from atmospheric disturbances and sensor distortions using the Landsat Ecosystem Disturbance Adaptive Processing System (LEDAPS) and Landsat Surface Reflectance Code (LaSRC)in Google Earth Engine (GEE).27,28Further, layer stacking has been executed to composite the multiple spectral bandswhich served the primary input for LULC classification and urban growth analysis, and median values have been used to minimise the impact of outliers, improve classification stability, and provide a more representative dataset for training.29The multiple spectral bands include Blue, Green, Red, Near-Infrared (NIR), and Shortwave Infrared (SWIR) would help to categorise the LULC patterns.
Table 1: Satellite Imagery and Acquisition Details
Satellite Image | Acquisition year | Sensor | Resolution (m) | Bands | GEE Products |
Landsat 5 | 2001, 2011 | Thematic Mapper (TM) | 30 | B1, B2, B3, B4, B5 | Landsat/LT05/C02/T1_L2 |
Landsat 8 | 2021, 2024 | Operational Land Imager (OLI) | 30 | B1, B2, B3, B4, B5, B6, B7 | Landsat/LC08/C02/T1_L2 |
Source: USGS
Image Classification usingRandom Forest (RF) Model in GEE
Image classification was performed using the Random ForestModel, a supervised machine learning algorithm, in GEE, a cloud-based platform, to identify land use patterns for 2001, 2011, 2021, and 2024. The RF model is widely used for its ability to managehuge datasets, robustness, and high accuracy.30 This model is a non-parametric ensemble learning algorithm that employs hyperparameter tuning to reduce overfitting.31-33 The RF model is trained with classified data and subsequently tested for accuracy. The number of trees (ntree) has been set to 150 via hyper-tuning to improve classification accuracy.The training process begins with collecting training samples for each LULC category using a supervised image classification technique. These samples are generated from real-world observations and historical land-use records. In the BMC area, five LULC categories were identified: built-up, wetlands, green spaces, fallow land, and water bodies. The land use categories were identified based on satellite imagery reflectance values,anda primary survey was conducted to obtain field observations for distinguishing the different LULC categories. Within these categories, built-up areas include residential, commercial, and industrial zones. Wetlands cover parts of the East Kolkata Wetland, a designated Ramsar site, while the water bodies include ponds and canals. Urban green space comprises recreational areas such as parks and gardens, as well as vegetation along streets and road dividers. Fallow lands are cultivable wastelands and marshy regions. For this study, total 220 training samples were collected from each year to classify the study area. After collecting the samples, the dataset was separated into training and testing subsets. Across the LULC map of the study area, 200 ground control points were generated through stratified random sampling to ensure balanced distribution across the classified categories for each selected year, and a confusion matrix was prepared.Separate training samples were collected for each year, and the independent RF model was trained. Of the total samples, 70% were used for training and 30% for testing, ensuring the model's learning and validation. These datasets facilitate the development of the classification model and its accuracy assessment.34
Accuracy Assessment
Accuracy assessment evaluates the reliability of LULC classification. Using 30% of the dataset, split during preparation for unbiased evaluation, it compares classified outputs with reference data to calculate metrics such as overall accuracy, producer’s and user’s accuracy, and the Kappa coefficient. User’s accuracy shows the percentage of correctly classified pixels in a LULC category, while producer’s accuracy assesses captures ground-truth features.35 A confusion matrix was used to determine these accuracies, with overall accuracy and the Kappa coefficient evaluating overall performance across years. The formulas used to compute these values are included.

Where SXX
![]() | Figure 2: Methodological Flow Chart for LULCand Urban Growth
|
Spatio-temporal Land use Change Detection (Land Transformation Matrix)
Spatiotemporal change detection, or land transition, helps determine how LULC patterns change from one land type to another.37 The land transformation matrix was prepared to provide an overview of LULC transformation.5 Thematrix has been calculated using the following formula:

Where Tij
Measurement of Urban Expansion Using Urban Area Expansion Intensity Index (UAEII)
An UAEII is a quantitative index that assesses the rate and intensity of built-up expansion over a specified timeframe.38,39 This index analyses the spatial-temporal dynamics of urban expansion. It helps evaluate the extent of urban built-up and identify areas of concentrated urban growth.40AnUAEII has been calculated using the following equation:

In this equation, BUt2
Shannon Entropy for Assessing Urban Growth
Shannon entropy is an indicator of urban diversity.42 Shannon entropy was first introduced in the 1948 paper “A Mathematical Theory of Communication” by Claude Shannon.24 It is a widely used approach for assessing the concentration and spatial distribution of urban growth.43 The entropy is essential for understanding the dynamics of urban sprawl.44 It enables the assessment of concentrated or scattered growth, offering valuable insights into the dynamics of urban expansion.45 Using the following equation, Shannon entropy has been expressed.

Where Hn =
Relative entropy is also a robust quantitative measure for identifying changes in urban land use by comparing past and present spatial configurations. The entropy is calculated using the formula47:

Relative entropy has been used to normalise Shannon’s entropy to a scale ranging from 0 to 1.48 The value of relative entropy 0 representsthe compact and aggregated built-up pattern, and1 represents a discrete built-up distribution. The midpoint is set as the threshold value, and values above it (0.5) indicate urban sprawl.49
Landscape Expansion Index (LEI)
The landscape expansion index is a spatial metric that analyses urban growth by classifying new land patches based on their relationship to existing built-up areas.50 It identifies growth modes: infilling, where growth occurs within existing areas; edge expansion, which develops outward from boundaries; and leapfrog development, where areas are isolated from existing ones. The LEI have been extractedbased on the following formula51:

Where Ap
Results
LULC Pattern Analysis
The LULC patterns offer a comprehensive view of the landscape's spatial and temporal changes. The selected study area is categorised as five distinct LULC types: built-up area, wetland, green space, fallow land, and water bodies.According to the 2001 LULC classification, built-up area dominated, its occupying nearly 19.31 km² (33.72%) of the total area. The southern and southeastern parts of BMC showed wetlands covers 25.88%, while green spaces account was 21.25%, followed by smaller portion covered by fallow land (13.66%) and water bodies (5.48%) (Fig. 3, 4a& Table 2). By 2011, the built-up area increased up to 39.35%, mainly in the central region, including Sectors I, II, III, IV, and V, which attract many residents due to the presence of administrative buildings and IT hubs. During this period, wetland (24.59%), green space (20.38%), fallow land (11.79%), and water bodies (3.89%) experiences continuous decline (Fig. 3, 4b& Table 2). The LULC map of 2021 shows the built-up areas occupy the largest region (45.46%) mainly in the core and outskirts of the study region, while wetland (22.56%), greenspace (17.92%), fallow land (11.11%), and waterbodies (2.95%) continuously decreased (Fig. 3, 4c& Table 2). For the year 2024 highlighted that built-up area increased up to 50.17%, while wetland, green space, fallow land, and waterbody areas decreased in BMC. From 2001 to 2024, the total built-up area was increased, remains categories drastically decreased.
Table 2: Temporal Distribution of LULC Classes(2001 to 2024)
LULC Categories/ Classes | 2001 | 2011 | 2021 | 2024 | ||||
Area (km2) | Area (%) | Area (km2) | Area (%) | Area (km2) | Area (%) | Area (km2) | Area (%) | |
Built-up | 19.31 | 33.72 | 22.53 | 39.35 | 26.03 | 45.46 | 28.73 | 50.17 |
Wetland | 14.82 | 25.88 | 14.08 | 24.59 | 12.92 | 22.56 | 11.85 | 20.70 |
Greenspace | 12.17 | 21.25 | 11.67 | 20.38 | 10.26 | 17.92 | 9.67 | 16.89 |
Fallow land | 7.82 | 13.66 | 6.75 | 11.79 | 6.36 | 11.11 | 5.41 | 9.45 |
Waterbodies | 3.14 | 5.48 | 2.23 | 3.89 | 1.69 | 2.95 | 1.60 | 2.79 |
![]() | Figure 3: Temporal Distribution of LULCCategories from 2001 to 2024
|
![]() | Figure 4: Spatio-temporal Distribution of Land Use Land Cover Map (a. 2001, b. 2011, c. 2021, d.2024)
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Accuracy Assessment
Accuracy assessment techniqueshave been used to evaluate the accuracy of LULC maps produced by random classification methods. The Kappa coefficient value closest to 1 indicates the highest classification accuracy.53 The overall classification accuracies for 2001, 2011, 2021, and 2024 are 85.50%, 88.50%, 89.00%, and 91.84%, respectively. Correspondingly, the kappa coefficients for these years are 0.81, 0.84, 0.86,and 0.89 (Table 3).
Table 3: Assessment of Accuracy of LULC of BMC (2001 to 2024)
LULC Class | 2001 | 2011 | 2021 | 2024 | ||||
UA | PA | UA | PA | UA | PA | UA | PA | |
Built-up Area | 81.63 | 80.00 | 90.91 | 89.29 | 94.64 | 86.89 | 94.64 | 89.83 |
Wetland | 89.83 | 88.33 | 90.48 | 90.48 | 92.73 | 92.73 | 91.94 | 95.00 |
Greenspace | 85.71 | 84.00 | 91.11 | 87.23 | 89.36 | 89.36 | 95.25 | 93.18 |
Fallow land | 91.30 | 87.50 | 78.95 | 88.24 | 77.78 | 87.50 | 78.95 | 88.24 |
Waterbody | 75.00 | 93.75 | 77.78 | 82.35 | 75.00 | 85.71 | 87.50 | 87.50 |
Overall Accuracy | 85.50 | 88.50 | 89.00 | 91.84 | ||||
Kappa Coefficient | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.89 | ||||
Spatiotemporal Change of LULC in BMC (2001-2024)
The spatiotemporal change in LULC from 2001 to 2024 shows that the only positive change occurred in built-up areas, while green space, wetland, fallow land, and waterbody areas experienced negative changes. Table 4 indicates that built-up areas increased by 5.62% with a growth rate of 16.68%. Fallow land was greatest reduction (-1.87%), and water bodies experienced the highest negative growth rate (-28.98%) from 2001 to 2011. Between 2011 and 2021, built-up areas showed the highest positive growth (15.53%), while waterbodies declined by -24.22%. From 2021 to 2024, fallow land experienced the largest negative growth (-14.94%), whereas built-up areas grew positively by 10.37%. The overall change from 2001-2024 revealed a 16.45% increase in area, with built-up areas showing the highest positive growth rate of 48.78%. Meanwhile, wetlands decreased by -5.19%, waterbodies by -49.04%, followed by fallow land (-30.82%) and greenspace (-20.54%) (Table 4).
Table 4: Change Detection of LULC Area and Growth Rate (%) (2001-2024)
LULC Classes | 2001-2011 | 2011-2021 | 2021-2024 | 2001-2024 | ||||||||
Area in km2 | Growth rate (%) | % of area | Area in km2 | Growth rate (%) | % of area | Area in km2 | Growth rate (%) | % of area | Area in km2 | Growth rate (%) | % of area | |
Built-up area | 3.22 | 16.68 | 5.62 | 3.50 | 15.53 | 6.11 | 2.70 | 10.37 | 4.72 | 9.42 | 48.78 | 16.45 |
Wetland | -0.74 | -4.99 | -1.29 | -1.16 | -8.24 | -2.03 | -1.07 | -8.28 | -1.87 | -2.97 | -20.04 | -5.19 |
Green space | -0.50 | -4.11 | -0.87 | -1.41 | -12.08 | -2.46 | -0.59 | -5.75 | -1.03 | -2.50 | -20.54 | -4.37 |
Fallow land | -1.07 | -13.68 | -1.87 | -0.39 | -5.78 | -0.68 | -0.95 | -14.94 | -1.66 | -2.41 | -30.82 | -4.21 |
Waterbodies | -0.91 | -28.98 | -1.59 | -0.54 | -24.22 | -0.94 | -0.09 | -5.33 | -0.16 | -1.54 | -49.04 | -2.69 |
Land Transformation Matrix of LULC Classes
The matrix was generated using LULC maps to analyse LULC category transitions and identify gains and losses in LULC classes. The matrix displays changes in area for each LULC class, illustrating how land transformed over the decades. Table 5 shows that the built-up area increased significantly from 19.31 km² in 2001 to 22.53 km² in 2011, mainly due to conversions from other LULC classes, including green space, wetland, fallow land, and waterbodies. Between 2001 and 2011, the largest conversion was from water bodies to built-up areas (Fig. 7a). Greenspace decreased (-4.72 km²), followed by wetlands (-3.51 km²), built-up areas (-2.07 km²), fallow land (-1.66 km²), and water bodies (-1.22 km²) in the study region (Table 5& Fig. 5, 6a).
Table 5: Land Transformation Matrixof LULC Classes (2001-2011)
Classes | Built-up area | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | Total (2001) | Loss (-) |
Built-up area | 17.24 | 0.33 | 1.45 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 19.31 | -2.07 |
Wetland | 1.27 | 11.31 | 2.01 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 14.82 | -3.51 |
Greenspace | 3.09 | 1.41 | 7.45 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 12.17 | -4.72 |
Fallow land | 0.87 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 6.16 | 0.06 | 7.82 | -1.66 |
Waterbody | 0.06 | 0.74 | 0.32 | 0.10 | 1.92 | 3.14 | -1.22 |
Total (2011) | 22.53 | 14.08 | 11.67 | 6.75 | 2.23 | 57.26 | |
Gain (+) | 5.29 | 2.77 | 4.22 | 0.59 | 0.31 |
The matrix of land transformation from 2011 to 2021 shows that built-up areas increased by 5.66 km2, with 0.45 km2 converted from wetlands, 2.96 km2 from green spaces, 1.94 km2 from fallow land, and 0.31 km2 from water bodies. During this period,wetlands, green spaces, and fallow land lost significant area as they wereconvertedto built-up areas (Table 6, Fig.5&6b).
Table 6: Land Transformation Matrix of LULC Classes(2011-2021)
Classes | Built-up area | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | Total (2011) | Loss (-) |
Built-up area | 20.37 | 0.48 | 1.51 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 22.53 | -2.16 |
Wetland | 0.45 | 11.99 | 0.28 | 1.26 | 0.10 | 14.08 | -2.09 |
Greenspace | 2.96 | 0.07 | 8.32 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 11.67 | -3.35 |
Fallow land | 1.94 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 4.65 | 0.01 | 6.75 | -2.10 |
Waterbody | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.10 | 1.44 | 2.23 | -0.79 |
Total (2021) | 26.03 | 12.92 | 10.26 | 6.36 | 1.69 | 57.26 | |
Gain (+) | 5.66 | 0.93 | 1.94 | 1.71 | 0.25 |
Table 7: Land Transformation Matrix of LULC Classes (2021-2024)
Classes | Built-up area | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | Total (2021) | Loss (-) |
Built-up area | 23.37 | 1.12 | 1.08 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 26.03 | -2.66 |
Wetland | 1.11 | 9.67 | 1.87 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 12.92 | -3.25 |
Greenspace | 2.96 | 0.46 | 6.25 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 10.26 | -4.01 |
Fallow land | 1.17 | 0.52 | 0.30 | 4.35 | 0.02 | 6.36 | -2.01 |
Waterbody | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 1.20 | 1.69 | -0.49 |
Total (2024) | 28.73 | 11.85 | 9.67 | 5.41 | 1.60 | 57.26 | |
Gain (+) | 5.36 | 2.18 | 3.42 | 1.06 | 0.40 |
The conversion of LULC from 2021 to 2024indicates that wetland (-3.25 km²) and green space (-4.01 km²) lost area due to land conversion to built-up areas. The built-up area gained the most area (5.36 km²). The land transformation map shows that the northeastern part of BMC was changing from another LULC category to built-up areas (Table 7 & Fig. 5, 6c).
Table 8: Land Transformation Matrix of LULC Classes (2001-2024)
Classes | Built-up area | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | Total (2001) | Loss (-) |
Built-up area | 16.67 | 1.10 | 1.08 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 19.31 | -2.64 |
Wetland | 4.01 | 9.55 | 1.04 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 14.82 | -5.27 |
Greenspace | 3.81 | 0.72 | 7.05 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 12.17 | -5.12 |
Fallow land | 3.12 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 4.30 | 0.02 | 7.82 | -3.52 |
Waterbody | 1.12 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 1.20 | 3.14 | -1.94 |
Total (2024) | 28.73 | 11.85 | 9.67 | 5.41 | 1.60 | 57.26 | |
Gain (+) | 12.06 | 2.30 | 2.62 | 1.11 | 0.40 |
![]() | Figure 5: Area-wiseGain and Loss of LULC Categories (2001-2024)
|
The final LULC categories transition (2001- 2024) shows significant changes: wetlands (-5.27 km²), green space (-5.12 km²), and fallow land (-3.52 km²) were mainly converted to built-up areas, it increasing about 28.73 km². Built-up areas are mainly in the centre, with green spaces dispersed. The northeastern parts of BMC weregrowing the built-up areas (Table 8, Fig. 5, 6d).
The final LULC categories transition (2001- 2024) shows significant changes: wetlands (-5.27 km²), green space (-5.12 km²), and fallow land (-3.52 km²) were mainly converted to built-up areas, it increasing about 28.73 km². Built-up areas are mainly in the centre, with green spaces dispersed. The northeastern parts of BMC weregrowing the built-up areas (Table 8, Fig. 5, 6d).
![]() | Figure 6: LULCClasses Conversion Map (a. 2001-2011, b. 2011-2021, c. 2021-2024, d. 2001-2024)
|
LULC Categories Conversion as Per Chord Diagram (2001-2024)
The Chord diagram visually depicts the transformation of LULC classes in between five categories from 2001 to 2024 through arcs and connecting ribbons. The visualisation effectively reveals dominant shifts, and width of each ribbon indicates the extent of change. In the study area, built-up areas were expanded due to population growth and infrastructure development from 2001 to 2024. The rise of Sector V (NDITA) and New Town as IT and commercial hubs attracted businesses, and migrants, leading to large-scale residential and commercial areas development. The government initiatives also promote real estate projects and accelerate land conversion (Fig. 7).
![]() | Figure 7: LULC Categories Conversion Shows Chord Diagram (2001-2024)
|
3.6Urban Area Expansion Intensity Index (UAEII)
The rate of built-up expansion of the study area has been analysed using the UAEII. The UAEII value is 0.56 for 2001-2011, indicating low urban expansion, and 0.61 for 2011-2021, indicating moderate growth (Table 9). From 2021-2024, the UAEII reached 1.57, clearly signifying high urban growth. Urban area expansion mainly occurs due to infrastructure development, population growth, and the availability of basic amenities. The overall UAEII value (0.72) indicates a moderate pace of urban expansion from 2001-2024, suggesting that the study area is experiencing continuous growth at a stable, controlled rate.
Table 9: Speed of Urban Growth as Per UAEII Growth (2001-11, 2011-21, 2021-24 and 2001-24)
Year | UAEII | Speed of urban growth |
2001-2011 | 0.56 | Low |
2011-2021 | 0.61 | Medium |
2021-2024 | 1.57 | High |
2001-2024 | 0.72 | Medium |
Identification of Urban Growth using Shannon Entropy
Shannon entropy is used to identify the expansion of urban growth. To analyse the Shannon entropy model, the study area has been divided into five buffer circles with 2 km intervals od built up area of BMC (Fig. 8). Buffer-zone-wise Shannon entropy values have been calculated for 2001, 2011, 2021,and 2024.The entropy value highlights the urban growth of the study area. The entropy values suggest spatial dispersion of urban growth. The relative entropy for NW from 2001 to 2024 is near the threshold value (Table 10). The absolute entropy values for 2001, 2011, 2021, and 2024 in these zones indicate a compact and planned urban expansion. This growth pattern reflects efficient land utilisation, minimised urban sprawl, and well-organised infrastructure framework, all of which support sustainable urban development and spatial planning.
![]() | Figure 8: Spatio-temporal Dynamic of Built-Up Area a) 2001-2011, b) 2011-2021, c) 2021-2024, and d) 2001-2024.
|
Table 10: The Urban Growth as per Shannon Entropy (2001, 2011, 2021 and 2024)
Zones | 2001 | 2011 | 2021 | 2024 | ||||
AE | RE | AE | RE | AE | RE | AE | RE | |
NE | 0.152 | 0.206 | 0.169 | 0.217 | 0.158 | 0.226 | 0.164 | 0.228 |
SE | 0.140 | 0.221 | 0.109 | 0.233 | 0.099 | 0.165 | 0.134 | 0.224 |
SW | 0.153 | 0.321 | 0.161 | 0.321 | 0.147 | 0.307 | 0.141 | 0.295 |
NW | 0.154 | 0.531 | 0.154 | 0.511 | 0.175 | 0.581 | 0.152 | 0.507 |
(AE= Absolute Entropy, and RE= Relative Entropy)
Modes of Urban Growth
Urban growth is categorised into infilling, edge expansion, and leapfrog growth. It mainly results from infrastructure development driven by increasing population pressure in urban areas. Urban growth occurs through various spatial patterns influenced by population dynamics, economic development, infrastructure expansion, and land-use policies. The modes of urban growth determine how cities expand and change their landscapes over time (Fig. 9). From 2001 to 2011, urban infilling was concentrated within the 2 km to 4 km buffer zone and absent in the 8 km to 10 km zone. This pattern persisted during 2011-2021, with the highest infilling still in the 2 km to 4 km zone, but infilling in the 4 km to 6 km zone declined. In the 6-10 km zone, infilling nearly stopped. Between 2021 and 2024, infilling became irregular and fluctuated across zones, with no clear trend. Meanwhile, edge-expansion growth steadily decreased from the 2 km to 10 km zones (2001-2024), showing less boundary growth as inner-zone consolidation increased. Conversely, leapfrog growth steadily rose, especially farther from the urban core, driven by better connectivity, real estate development, and population pressure.
![]() | Figure 9: Modes of Urban Growth
|
Table 11 illustrates the spatial patterns of urban growth through different modes. Infilling shows a declining trend, while edge expansion rises across the three periods. Meanwhile, leapfrog growth plays a minor role in overall urban expansion. From 2001 to 2011, edge expansion was mainly seen in the northeast, with infilling concentrated in the central area. Leapfrog development occurred in the southeast, driven by the new town in eastern BMC, a planned city in West Bengal. Between 2011 and 2024, some eastern areas experienced intensified edge expansion (Fig. 10). The latest data from 2021 to 2024 indicates a continued decrease in infilling and an increase in edge expansion, suggesting that peripheral areas are experiencing more infrastructure development, while the urban core remains less dense.
Table 11: Modes of Urban Growth (2001-2024)
Modes of urban growth | Urban growth (km2) | ||
2001-2011 | 2011-2021 | 2021-2024 | |
Infilling | 6.04 | 1.26 | 1.19 |
Edge-expansion | 10.47 | 19.34 | 23.99 |
Leapfrog | 0.56 | 0.41 | 1.18 |
![]() | Figure 10: Modes of urban growth a) 2001-2011 b) 2011-2021 c) 2021-2024
|
Discussion
LULC Scenario
The LULC scenarios reveal significant spatial-temporal changes within the study area. Over the years, the BMC area has undergone notable shifts from natural to human-made land cover. These changes are largely influenced by rapid urbanisation, increasing population, and the expansion of transportation networks.54-56 From 2001 to 2024, the built-up area was the only LULC category to consistently increase anarea. This category has shown steady positive growth throughout the study period, indicating ongoing urban expansion driven by population growth, infrastructure development, and economic activity. The ongoingbuilt-up growth reflects the shift from wetlands, green spaces, and fallow lands into concrete surfaces in the study area. The gradual decline in natural landscapes, such as wetlands and green spaces, poses a potential long-term threat to the environmental and ecological balance of urban environments.57,58 The persistent depletion of these vital natural resources may lead to adverse effects, including loss of biodiversity, increased urban heat-island effects, reduced air quality, and reduced resilience to climate change.59-61 Therefore, preserving and integrating natural landscapes into urban planning is crucial to ensuring sustainable, environmentally balanced urban growth.
Urban Growth Analysis
Theinfrastructural development within the study region has been analysed from multiple perspectives, focusing on compactness or dispersion, speed, and modes of urban development. Shannon’s Entropy Index, the UAEII, and the LEI have been applied to quantify and interpret LULC patterns. These methods collectively provide a comprehensive understanding of urban growth.The UAEII indicates that the study area experienced moderate urban growth between 2001 and 2024. This moderate pace of urban expansion reflects a balanced development process that avoids both rapid growth and stagnation. The Shannon entropy model assessed urban growth in terms of aggregation versus scattering. The results indicate that the overall urban growth pattern reflects a relatively planned and organised development process, and urban development in the study area has generally followed a structured and regulated growth pattern over the analysis period, mainly in the central or core parts of the study area, including sectors I, II,III, IV, and V (Nabadiganta Township). In the Bidhannagar area, the LEI highlights edge expansion as the most prominent, compare to infilling and leapfrog development, primarily due to the availability of undeveloped land along the urban fringes, which facilitates contiguous outward development. The core areas of Bidhannagar are relatively saturated, limiting opportunities for infilling growth, while planning regulations restrict scattered outlying or leapfrog development. The dominance of edge expansion suggests a gradual, continuous extension of the urban fabric rather than isolated developments or densification within the urban core.
Conclusion
BidhannagarMunicipal Corporation,LULC maps were provides a clear view of past and present land-use scenario. The LULC maps indicates an increase of built-up area for residential and commercial purposes like IT hubs have developed in Sector V, attracting national and international companies and people seeking better opportunities. Further, the most important administrative buildings in Kolkata are located in Bidhannagar. The land transformation matrix also represents the maximum area of wetlands, green spaces, fallow land, and water bodies that are converted into built-up for infrastructural development. For this study also applied UAEII, Shannon entropy, and LEI models.The UAEII valuesindicates that the study area experienced moderate urban growth from 2001 to 2024. Urban growth is occurring in a compact, planned manner, as ensured by the Shannon entropy values for the zone-wise.The LEI of Bidhannagar reflects that the mode of urban expansion, mainly edge-expansion, covered the maximum area, followed by infilling and leapfrog growth.The findings of the present work provide a valuable approach to decision-making that enablessustainable, eco-friendly development. Final all the models’ values are indicated built-up area growing in BMC.
Acknowledgement
The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to the Bidhannagar Municipal Corporation for providing access to various secondary data and information through their official website.
Funding Sources
The first author extends her gratitude to the University Grants Commission (UGC), New Delhi, for providing the Junior Research Fellowship (No. 210510956799).
Conflict of Interest
The authors do not have any conflict of interest.
Data Availability Statement
The manuscript incorporates all datasets generated or examined throughout this research study.
Ethics Statement
This research did not involve human participants, animal subjects, or any material that requires ethical approval.
Informed Consent Statement
This research has been not involvingany human participants, and therefore, consent statement is not required.
Permission to reproduce material from other sources
Not Applicable
Author Contributions
Vajana Mondal: Conceptualisation, Fundamental frameworks, Methodology, and Interpretation of results, and Mapping and Layout of all Figures.
Manika Mallick: Conceptualisation, Fundamental frameworks, Methodology, and Interpretation of results.
Moumita Hati: Conceptualisation, Fundamental frameworks, Methodology, and Interpretation of results.
Debasis Das: Conceptualisation, Fundamental frameworks, Methodology, and Interpretation of results.
Kausik Panja: Mapping and Layout of all Figures.
Deepa Rai: Mapping and Layout of all Figures.
Atoshi Chakma: Mapping and Layout of all Figures.
Y. V. Krishnaiah: Supervision for overall framing of the research work, field expertise and analysis of results
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Appendix
Table 1: Confusion Matrix 2001
Class | Built-up | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | User accuracy |
Built-up | 40 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 81.63 |
Wetland | 3 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 89.83 |
Greenspace | 5 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
Fallow land | 0 | 1 | 0 | 021 | 1 | 91.30 |
Waterbody | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 75.00 |
Producer accuracy | 80.00 | 88.33 | 84.00 | 87.50 | 93.75 | |
Overall Accuracy | 85.50 | |||||
Kappa Coefficient | 0.81 | |||||
Table 2: Confusion Matrix 2011
Class | Built-up | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | User accuracy |
Built-up | 50 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
Wetland | 2 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 90.48 |
Greenspace | 1 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 91.11 |
Fallow land | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 78.95 |
Waterbody | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 77.78 |
Producer accuracy | 89.29 | 90.48 | 87.23 | 88.24 | 82.35 | |
Overall Accuracy | 88.50 | |||||
Kappa Coefficient | 0.84 | |||||
Table 3 Confusion Matrix 2021
Class | Built-up | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | User accuracy |
Built-up | 53 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 94.64 |
Wetland | 2 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 92.73 |
Greenspace | 2 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 89.36 |
Fallow land | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 77.78 |
Waterbody | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 75.00 |
Producer accuracy | 86.89 | 92.73 | 89.36 | 87.50 | 85.71 | |
Overall Accuracy | 89.00 | |||||
Kappa Coefficient | 0.86 | |||||
Table 4: Confusion Matrix 2024
Class | Built-up | Wetland | Greenspace | Fallow land | Waterbody | User accuracy |
Built-up | 53 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 94.64 |
Wetland | 2 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 91.94 |
Greenspace | 1 | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 95.25 |
Fallow land | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 78.95 |
Waterbody | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 87.50 |
Producer accuracy | 89.83 | 95.00 | 93.18 | 88.24 | 87.50 | |
Overall Accuracy | 91.84 | |||||
Kappa Coefficient | 0.89 | |||||











